
The world-changing hundred-dollar laptop is going into mass production, which means that soon one of two things will happen. Either a) a huge number of these things will get shipped into developing countries and begin to crash and pile up, broken, in heaps; or b) a huge number of these things will pile up in some warehouse because the orders still aren't coming in. Now the good folks at OLPC are saying they will subsidize their efforts by selling these craptops to First-World freetards for something like five hundred bucks a piece. See the Engadget piece here.
Why is this significant? It's significant because it's a huge about-face for OLPC, which originally said they wouldn't sell to consumers here because there was going to be such demand in the Third World and they wanted to make sure that every kid got a machine before they started letting folks here have them. Now they're going to start cranking them out and selling them here while they wait for those huge million-unit orders to come in from the developing world -- you know, those orders that will cost each country $100 million that they don't, um, have. Ahem.
The next fall-back, as these machines start piling up, will be for OLPC to try to arrange "financing" through the World Bank or the U.N. or some other organization. When that falls through they can blame those guys. Or they'll blame Intel, which by then will have swept in and helped these countries set up their own plants to build the machines locally, thereby creating jobs. I know it sounds strange, but what Intel understands and OLPC doesn't is that these countries don't want expensive handouts. They want companies to come in and create jobs and help them build an ecosystem. Just selling them a bunch of cheap laptops (which by the way are still too expensive for them) doesn't do them much good.
Of course the OLPC people won't admit defeat or even admit to being disappointed. And they'll never admit how stupid and idealistic and naive they look. And nobody in the freetarded media will ever criticize them because then they too will look stupid for having touted this thing like it was the second coming of You-Know-Who.
Note to Nicholas Negroponte: You went on your big world tour and met with Kofi Annan and all these government ministers and they all posed for photos and told you how wonderful your plans were and how they were so eager to get started. But then when it came time to write checks they all kind of stopped returning your phone calls. Or if they do call back they start suggesting ways that you could set up their brother-in-law as a distributor and slice a little bit of the skim back in their direction. Welcome to the developing world. You should see the stuff we have to do to make business happen in these places. One guy -- I can't say who -- made us set him up with a private jet, ostensibly so he could zoom around the country keeping an eye on us and monitoring our performance. Oh, and maybe zip off to Paris for weekends. NickNeg, have you ever done business in places like Africa before? Oh right. You're a professor. You just want to help the kids.
Funny thing is that there's not a lot of demand for these dopey machines from the target audience, but there's loads of demand from freetards in the U.S. and Europe. Turns out, apparently, that folks in the developing world know enough to stay away from first-gen tech, especially when it's running a brand-new OS designed by wooly Cambridge types and it's still crashing all the time. Not so the freetards, who can't wait to get their hands on these semi-functioning boxes with their childish icon user interface. How soon till we see bozos in Berkeley and Cambridge sitting in cafes, pumping away on their foot pump or tugging on their salad spinner, keeping their little laptop running and cruising the Web with their Opera browser? No doubt they'll act all smug, too, and tell us that by doing this they're a) saving the planet from melting; and b) helping kids in Africa. Have at it, bozos.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Let the train wreck begin
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30 comments:
Personally i always thought the coolest computer idea ever was the $100 PC. In a movie called "the first 20-million is the hardest" a bunch of guys design a holographic computer with the coolest whizz bang fatures in the world. i always figured since you make software ad hardware Apple could translate this uber-machine into reality.
I want my $100 laptop to be a holographic computer like the one in "first $20 million is the hardest". enuff said
I want my $100 laptop to be a holographic computer like the one in "first $20 million is the hardest". enuff said
MIT's $100 laptop: bringing porn to one Africa, one kid at a time
http://www.fivezerofive.com/main/index.php?itemid=1105
I like the idea of a salad spinner being used to run a laptop. The image it casts is a 21st century Spinning Jenny.
Welcome to the world of tomorrow!
Futurtard.
FSJ, give them a break - I am still waiting for the One Mac Per Child (OMPC) initiative or the One IPhone Per Person (OIPP) program.
And afaik they have quite an order book (from A as in Argentina to U as in Uruguay) by now.
a) a huge number of these things will get shipped into developing countries and begin to crash and pile up, broken, in heaps; or b) a huge number of these things will pile up in some warehouse because the orders still aren't coming in.
c) They'll all end up on eBay.
Your blog is super, but I have this feeling you would love to do something more useful. Maybe that's why your sarcasm is at its sharpest when kicking do-gooders in the balls. Me no have balls to install Linux myself, but try and get some market share in Brazil. See what Linux has done there for the local economy.
It's so boring to pay for stuff like books and schools and teachers, why not give 'em a toy?
Awww, are you still bitter because the OLPC project rejected Apple, FSJ? Sounds like you need to spend some more time on the meditation mat.
Your blog is super, but I have this feeling you would love to do something more useful. Maybe that's why your sarcasm is at its sharpest when kicking do-gooders in the balls.
Do-gooders promise, SJ delivers.
I can't wait till everyone in Nigeria has an OLPC! I'll be filthy stinking rich with all the long lost relatives losing their lives and leaving enormous inheritances over there!
"How soon till we see bozos in Berkeley and Cambridge sitting in cafes, pumping away on their foot pump or tugging on their salad spinner, keeping their little laptop running and cruising the Web with their Opera browser?"
Dammit FSJ - I just spit coffee on my eight year old PB G3! Keep this up and I'll have to go out and buy a MB Pro or something. Damn!
he's right:
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=oddlyEnoughNews&storyid=2007-07-20T212744Z_01_L19666470_RTRUKOC_0_US-NIGERIA-PORNOGRAPHY.xml&src=nl_usoddlyenough
I think a great import business would be to place an order for a million OLPC's in, say, the Philippines for $100MM and sell it here in the US for $150-250MM.
Sad, sad, sad FakeSteve. Remember you used to hang around in India? I think you need a little OmShanti. I think that you - and a lot of the retard posters on this board - are secretly afraid that this thing will actually _work_ and make OS X irrelevant in MOST OF THE WORLD. I guess you should have gone back to your roots and got there first.
Me: owns MacBook Pro, MacBook, eMac, and a little Zen.
I once had this friend at Berkeley who was gungho about helping the less fortunate. How gungho? Well, once we were at the campus and he dropped his Windows Mobile phone onto the grass. Since it wasn't an iPhone, it immediately broke beyond repair. Not wanting to throw it away because of the toxic battery, he decides to be generous and "donate" his very expensive (but useless) phone to this homeless man.. I was not surprised to fibd out he os a part of that OLPC campaign. Same sort of a charity, but on a much larger scale. Sometimes, nothing is better than something, especially something so ugly as that laptop. Talk about degrading to the third world children. They're human too, Nick! Treat them like ones!
That's the difference between us and them, Steve. When we give gifts, we don't give the cheapest ugliest things we could find.
Ikem,
OS X is already irrelevant in most of the world. So are most luxury items. Not a problem.
Your right about them waiting factories and not these flimsy laptops. Most people, in Africa especially, live on like 2 dollars a day. But I have to give them credit for knowing not to use a first Gen. product. I didn't learn that until I had to take my Macbook to Apple care for the third time.
What's not going to be funny is when they start getting letters demanding money from Slaphead Em Balmer for being in breach of MS "Patents" 'cause they are running UbangUs or Red Socks or whatever it's called. Should have stuck with your offer OSX.
Too bad it's not running Fake Mac OS X.
[i]They want companies to come in and create jobs and help them build an ecosystem.[/i]
Sadly, no. This is the logic that has Nike building factories in the Philippines. When has that ever helped the local economy? All it does is increase dependence on foreign companies who have no incentive to remain in the host country, as well as do very little for the bottom lines of the workers themselves, who are typically paid in line with the local economic standards--that is to say, very little.
What these countries really want is investment in their local industries with modern technology and modern training. Until this happens, these countries will always get the short ends of sticks offered to them by the likes of Intel, Nike, and Chiquita.
This whole thing is a tremendous crock of shit. These are people who drink polluted water, for fuck's sake! How about providing them with clean drinking water or vaccinations so they might live long enough to use the damn thing.
Quoting FSJ: "They want companies to come in and create jobs and help them build an ecosystem."
Quoting Saduuch: "Sadly, no. This is the logic that has Nike building factories in the Philippines. When has that ever helped the local economy? All it does is increase dependence on foreign companies who have no incentive to remain in the host country, as well as do very little for the bottom lines of the workers themselves, who are typically paid in line with the local economic standards--that is to say, very little."
Like Toyota building Camrys in Tennesee?
I do believe many of the first plants in post-opening China were joint ventures that ended up transferring technology to China and building an infrastructure of trained tech workers.
If someone builds a chip fab in your country, they do have some motivation NOT to abandon it. It's not QUITE like the old days of enslaving local workers to grow sugar cane until the soil's depleted, the mix of local crops destroyed and then pull out.
And local businesses do tend to get into the act over time. Not all the digital businesses in Bangalore are owned by Dell and friends any more.
On the other hand, when national chains invade a US community and the WalMarts and McDonalds and Denny's drive the more indigenous Mom and Pop places out of business leaving a bland sameness and lots of low paid jobs, well that is an other hand, whatever you think of it.
Progress is our most telling byproduct.
brawr hawr hawr hawr hawr hawr hawr!!
"... try to arrange 'financing' through the World Bank..." ... oh stop! hoo! yer killin' me... i can't breathe i'm laughin' so hard, fakey-steve-o!... hooo!...
that's like saying on a global level, "i think i'm going to take out a small personal loan with those kindly boys vito and vinnie down at the waterfront docks. they seem like such friendly and personable young men..." hawr!
what i love about the whole OLPC cluster-f**k is the ignorance of basic services in third world countries. yeah! we'll give 'em $100 PCs. and they'll be able to plug them in... where??? and connect to wi-fi ... where?!?!?!
freetards. sources of endless chuckles. now that's real open source.
I live in Africa and the comment about investment is absolutely true.
Sending computers won't do much at all if people are illiterate (never mind *computer illiterate*) and starving.
Investing in Africa, creating jobs, is the best thing the developed world can do for us. But it's not something I would recommend given the political instability that Africa is so famous for.
Even the darling South Africa's future doesn't look optimistic if Jacob Zuma comes into power.
In all seriousness OLPC sounds great if it's free, but at $100 I'd rather my tax money went to providing basic health services to the slums.
And you say that negative people upset you?!?! What a spew of bitter, disillusioned FUD! Let me guess, did OLPC "respectfully decline" your employment application?
ROFLMFAO
Turns out, apparently, that folks in the developing world know enough to stay away from first-gen tech, especially when it's running a brand-new OS designed by wooly Cambridge types and it's still crashing all the time.
Thank you for the wonderful effort
إني تذكـرت والذكرى مؤرقـة * مجـداً تلـيدا بأيـدينا أضعـناه
أنَّى اتجهتَ للإسـلام في بـلـدٍ * تجْده كالطيرِ مقصـوصًا جناحـاه
كـم صرفتنا يـدٌ كنـا نـصرفها * وبات يـملكنا شعب مـلكناه
بالله سل خلف بحر الروم عن عرب * بالأمس كانوا هنا واليوم قد تاهوا
وانزل دمشق وسائل صخر مسجدها * عمن بناه لعل الـصخر ينعـاه
هذى معـالم خرس كـل واحـدة * منهن قامت خطيبـا فاغرا فـاه
الله يعلم ما قلبت سـيرتهم يومـا * وأخطـأ دمـع الـعين مـجراه
يا من يرى عمـراتكسوه بردته * الزيت أدمٌ لـه والكـوخ مـأواه
يهتز كسـرى على كرسيه فرقـا * من خوفه ، وملوك الروم تخشـاه
يا رب فابعث لنا من مثلهم نفـرا * يشـيدون لـنا مـجدا أضعنـاه
Thank you for the wonderful effort
إني تذكـرت والذكرى مؤرقـة * مجـداً تلـيدا بأيـدينا أضعـناه
أنَّى اتجهتَ للإسـلام في بـلـدٍ * تجْده كالطيرِ مقصـوصًا جناحـاه
كـم صرفتنا يـدٌ كنـا نـصرفها * وبات يـملكنا شعب مـلكناه
بالله سل خلف بحر الروم عن عرب * بالأمس كانوا هنا واليوم قد تاهوا
وانزل دمشق وسائل صخر مسجدها * عمن بناه لعل الـصخر ينعـاه
هذى معـالم خرس كـل واحـدة * منهن قامت خطيبـا فاغرا فـاه
الله يعلم ما قلبت سـيرتهم يومـا * وأخطـأ دمـع الـعين مـجراه
يا من يرى عمـراتكسوه بردته * الزيت أدمٌ لـه والكـوخ مـأواه
يهتز كسـرى على كرسيه فرقـا * من خوفه ، وملوك الروم تخشـاه
يا رب فابعث لنا من مثلهم نفـرا * يشـيدون لـنا مـجدا أضعنـاه
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